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Pakistan’s IMF Review Amid Flood Crisis: What It Means for the Economy

Introduction

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has called on the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to consider the devastating impact of floods in Pakistan’s next economic review. While Pakistan has been meeting IMF programme conditions, the unprecedented floods have worsened food shortages, disrupted exports, and strained its fragile recovery.


IMF Programme and Pakistan’s Progress

  • Pakistan is on track with its $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF).
  • The IMF review set for September 25 will assess March–June 2025 progress.
  • Pakistan met seven key performance criteria ahead of the review.

Floods and Their Economic Toll

  • Record-breaking monsoon rains and dam releases submerged Punjab and Sindh.
  • Over 220,000 hectares of rice fields destroyed.
  • Agriculture and manufacturing sectors hit simultaneously, deepening the crisis.

Government’s Appeal to IMF

  • PM Shehbaz emphasized integrating flood damage into IMF’s assessment.
  • Pakistan had forecasted 4.2% growth for 2026, but floods may derail projections.
  • The IMF acknowledged the crisis, stressing damage assessment before recovery plans.

IMF’s Response

Kristalina Georgieva, IMF’s MD:

  • Expressed solidarity with flood-affected families.
  • Reaffirmed IMF’s support for Pakistan’s reforms.
  • Praised government efforts in macroeconomic stability.

Support from the World Bank

  • PM Shehbaz also met World Bank President Ajay Banga.
  • World Bank pledged $40 billion under its Country Partnership Framework (CPF).
  • Focus: climate resilience, energy reforms, privatisation, and resource mobilisation.

Looking Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities

  • Flood recovery could take years, demanding global cooperation.
  • IMF and World Bank support may restore investor confidence.
  • Pakistan’s resilience reforms are vital for long-term sustainability.

FAQs

1. Why did PM Shehbaz urge the IMF to consider floods in its review?
Because floods caused billions in damages, impacting agriculture, exports, and economic recovery.

2. What IMF programme is Pakistan currently under?
The $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF), alongside additional IMF arrangements.

3. How badly were crops affected?
Over 220,000 hectares of rice fields and 1.8 million acres of farmland were submerged.

4. What role is the World Bank playing?
The World Bank pledged $40 billion under CPF to support reforms and climate resilience.

5. Can Pakistan still meet its growth targets?
Floods threaten the projected 4.2% growth for 2026, making recovery uncertain.

6. How has the IMF responded?
The IMF expressed sympathy, acknowledged the economic strain, and pledged ongoing support.


Conclusion

Pakistan’s future economic stability hinges on balancing IMF commitments with disaster recovery. While the government is pushing reforms, global cooperation from financial institutions is crucial. If handled wisely, this challenge could pave the way for sustainable, climate-resilient growth.

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